Cheltenham 1:30 - 139th Year of The National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup (Amateur Riders' Novices' Chase)
Im opposing Cant buy time and Konati Kid. the former prefers small fields and fav hasnt won in 17 years. The latter prefers shorter run ins and possibly a right handed track. Therefore i reckon winner number 5 for the irish in this first race. Parson Pistol seems to have every chance here and at 14/1 is great value. He's a classy horse, has alrady wona graded race, can win in big fields, and according to the trainer his best bet of the festical which is good cionsidering he had a winner already yesterday.Nina is riding it and is one of the more experienced riders here at cheltenham. This is my NAP of the day
Verdict
Parsons Pistol 2 point Win (14/1)
Cheltenham 2:05 - Ballymore Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Baring Bingham Novices' Hurdle Race) Grade 1
I really dont know what to back here. I was going to oppose the favourite ruby is riding due to his sires stats on the going and i was going to back diamond harry but the historic trend states that previous winner of the Challow hurdle have never won this race, but at the same time i can find a fault with all the runners in this race. Becasue of this I am only going to back these two horses to small stakes to win just to keep me interested
Verdict
MIKAEL D'HAGUENET 1/2 point win (3/1)
DIAMOND HARRY 1/2 point win (9/2)
Cheltenham 2:40 - RSA Chase Grade 1
Im not that confident about this one either but i think its between ruby and tony mccoys mounts on the day, Cooldine and Gone for Lunch. Massini maguire will not win as the trip is beyond him. a lot of the other entries dont fit the age profile or dont seem classy enough, so with all those things factored in it just leaves Cooldine as the last horse standing so to speak, so looks like another winner for the Irish
Verdict
Cooldine 1 point win (4/1)
Cheltenham 3:20 - Seasons Holidays Queen Mother Champion Chase Grade 1
Master minded will win this but i spent a good hour trying to pick out a really good priced horse that will come in second (or first if master minded falls) and i have gone for a horse which fits the winning profile, likes the going and distance and has won on a stiff track before, plus tony mccoys on board.
Verdict
1 point each way BRIAREUS (28/1)
Cheltenham 4:00 - Coral Cup (Handicap Hurdle) Grade 3
this race is very competitive. Nicky henderson has laid out a horse to win this but odds are fairly short. However i will still be backing as is probably still value if you get it over 6/1. I will also be having a small punt on one of my favourite horses Lough Derg as he loves the course but is top weight so will be a minor miracle if he wins, but he should place as he never gives up and has all the conditions to suit and doesnt rally mond carry the extra weight.
Verdict
THE POLOMOCHE 1 point win (8/1)
LOUGH DERG 1/2 point each way (28/1)
Cheltenham 4:40 - Fred Winter Juvenile Novices' Handicap Hurdle Grade 3
I havent a clue whats going to win this but better to stick to a david pipe horse here and back it each way. He has two runners here but only one fits the winning profile of the past 4 years of having won over 12f on the flat, french bred, and three runs only. He didnt win last time out though so only negative. I shall be playing to very small stakes just to keep me interested
RONALDO DES MOTTES 1/2 point each way
Cheltenham 5:15 - Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race) Grade 1
Im not a big fan of bumber races but i will have a small punt on paul nolans horse. he races prominently which will keep him out of trouble, has won over course and distance before and he fits the winning profile of previous winners. He's good vale at 14/1
Verdict
SHINROCK PADDY 1 point each way (14/1)
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
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