I dont have time to write detailed explanations tonight, but here are my tips for tomorrow. Im not overly confident about any one in particular, but they all have conditions in their favour so expecting a good run from all and hopefully most of them will be in contention.
Cheltenham 1:30 - Jewson Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed Race)
Toughest race to pick a winner on the card today. I have shortlisted
KIA KAHA (8/1)
NAIAD DU MISSELOT (wearing blinkers first time- horse may be tempermental)
NORTHERN ALLIANCE (Distance worry)
Im going for the top one as theres less negatives about it. Only going to bet 1/2 point win as its too hard a race to call
Cheltenham 2:05 - Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle) (Listed Race)
another extremely tough race to call. If this was any other meet, id avoid this race but just for interests sake i have picked SYNCHRONISED. 1/2 point Each Way (12/1)
Cheltenham 2:40 - Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy Chase)
Grade 1
Hard to see VOY POR USTEDES getting beat but stranger things have happened. Our Vic or Tidal Bay cannot be ruled out, so i am just going to watch this. At evens there is no value for me.
Cheltenham 3:20 - Ladbrokes World Hurdle Grade 1
This could be the best race of the day. It is definitely between these three
KASBAH BLISS (2.2)
PUNCHESTOWNS (4.6)
BIG BUCK'S (7.8)
All the talk is Kasbah bliss will take some beaten. However he still hasnt won on a stiff track, even though every one says he should have won last year but the jockey produced him too early, however 0/5 on stiff tracks is a worry.
Nicky Henderson is very bullish about Punchestown, saying that he has improved since conceding weight in defeat to Big Bucks so expect a very good run from him back on this track.
I will be backing all three in a dutch bet which basically gives me a free bet on Big Buck to win as i secretly think he will come very close. I have set up the bet that i will get 6/4 if he wins but lose nothing on the race if Kasbah bliss or Punchestown win. Complicated but i think its a no lose situation.
Cheltenham 4:00 - Freddie Williams Festival Plate (Handicap Chase) Grade 3
another impossible race to try and pick a winner from. Heres my shortlist
PING PONG SIVOLA 2 point win
NOTABLE D'ESTRUVAL
CLARIFIED
the bottom 2 are Irish trainer and look like they have been plotted up for an attack on this race, however Im siding with Venetia Williams mount PING PONG SIVOLA, as it has bottom weight, very good recent form, is progressive, C&D winner and she has a fantastic strike rate in Handicap chases here. Also rallied by the fact that this horse hammered Tricky Trickerster (who won the first race here yesterday)allbeit in the muck here last January. Sire stats show horse can handle good going so this actually is beginning to look like my best bet of the day. At 14/1 its good value
Cheltenham 4:40 - Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Amateur Riders)
I havent a clue whats going to win this so im going for an experienced horse who loves the going, the track, trainer in great form, trainer jockey combination good, well weighted, fit and in decent recent form and 33/1 to boot!!
LE DUC 1/2 point each way (33/1)
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
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