Today has been my hardest to fine any definite stand out opportunities but heres what i have come up with
Cheltenham 1:30 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Grade 1
I have narrowed it down to three
WALKON
EBADIYAN
ZAYNOR
As this is a novice juvenile hurlde, we need a horse who has proven stamina over a stiff race track. Walkon has won here before and has followed in the same footsteps as Katchit and Frankoek, the two previous alan king winners of this race. therefore at 9/2 he is my choice for this race. I will aslo be having a small bet on Ebadiyan as he has proven his stamina by winning at Naas which is very simiar to Cheltenham. I fear for Zaynors jumping ability however he ahs beaten Walkon htis year and he may have improved more than i believe it has so its hard to rule him out.
I believe Walkon will win, but i shall be dutching with the other two mentioned above to lock in a profit.
Cheltenham 2:05 - Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle Grade 3
another tough handicap which im not one bit confident about. My shortlist is as follows
SUNNYHILLBOY
DAVE'S DREAM
AACHEN
I will probably only bet 1/2 point win on Sunnyhillboy. He looks really progressive and has everything in his favour bar the longer than wanted lay off of 97 days since last run. however it is jonjo o neill who is in cracking form and mccoys on board.
The negative re: daves dream is the bounce factor. he ran 6 days ago, and is only running here due to the big bonus he gets if he wins this race as well. Also he has never won on stiff track and sire has 1/79 strike rate for winning on track.
I cant find much wrong with Aachen bar his jump up in class, however its his first handicap so could be leniently treated.
I wouldnt blame anyone if they didn thave a bet in this race.
Cheltenham 2:40 - Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle Race) Grade 1
I shall be taking a chance on PRIDE OF DULCOTE. It has yet to be involved in a tough race and he has actually fallen or unseated rider twice in his career, but i reallty think if ruby can stay on then the class will show in this horse. If he hadnt fallen last time in cheltenham, when he was poised to win, i would be piling a lot on this one, but as this is not the case i will only be putting 1 point to win. I think 7/2 is very skinny here.
Cheltenham 3:20 - totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase Grade 1
Im struggling to find the winner here. Im going to take a chance on a non paul nichol horse. Im opposing Denman, due not fully fit after heart op, and kauto star as no horse has ever regained the gold cup before. He aslo looks a tiny bit vulnerable around here.
So i think either Exotic Dancer or Barber Shop will win and i will back both to win to small stakes
1/2 point win on both 7/1, 10/1
Cheltenham 4:00 - Christie's Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
A lottery of a race here. for interest i will be backing OFAREL D'AIRY. Proven on going, distance, course, is fit, can carry weight, has good recent form. Age fits past winning profiles of this race. Im playing for small stakes here.
1/2 point each way, 20/1
Cheltenham 4:40 - Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle
This is it! this is my banker of the day and its 24/1. After my close call yesterday, im going to back this one each way. Even though David pipe has entered 8 runners out of 24 into this race so he can win it for his father, i am going for a PJ Hobbs horse.
This looks like it has been plotted up to win this race. He has been raced twice over fences lately to keep him race fit and not to affect its handicap mark over hurdles.(2nd and 1st in both) Horse name is OSCATELLO. Honestly im not as confident as i was for ping pong sivola yesterday but that is just down to two factors jockey and field sizes - has only placed 1/4 in fields over 16 runners. However read this. 2 of those was when he ran over 25f and the other one was when he came back after a long seasonal break - he needs a first run, and he cannot make 25f trip as 21f is his optimum. the He placed 4th in the coral cup last year in cheltenham so he has the class to win this. The jockey has at least won here before so thats a positive in this amateur jockey race.
Verdict 2 points E/W (24/1 Betfair)
Cheltenham 5:15 - Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Challenge Cup (Handicap) Grade 3
OH CRICK ey
Yes my final selection of the festival. Great weight, novices chasers have a good record in this race and 80% of winners were under 10/1. He will be suited by track and and looks preped for this race. Next best is lorient express.
1/2 point each way
Thursday, March 12, 2009
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